History of Public Predictions

This page is a repository of every public, written prediction made by LikeFolio through our premium product launch in March, 2018.

Current Tally:

✔️ 38 correct
2 incorrect

If you find a public, written prediction issued prior to March 2018 that is not on this list, please contact us immediately with full details.  If we missed it, we will add it and give you a $200 credit toward any LikeFolio product!

Let’s get started….

The GRAND DADDY MULTI-CALL:  Chipotle 2017

 

✔️ The RISE — December 2016

Prediction:  LikeFolio says enthusiasm for beleaguered burrito chain Chipotle is making a comeback.  

Result:  Stock explodes from 380-480 as stores see signs of life and analysts predict higher sales.

✔️ The FALL — Summer 2017

Prediction:  “Unfortunately, the same metrics that led us to accurately predict a Chipotle comeback early in the year are now telling us the turnaround party is officially over.  

Result: The company reports low sales, analysts aren’t happy with CMG and the stock falls from 500 to 320 in a matter of months.

✔️ The DEATH — Fall 2018

Prediction:  LikeFolio issues guidance on CMG stock warning people not to buy into a Chipotle recovery story.  We warned that the queso is causing big problems with consumer happiness.  “Likefolio not buying any Chipotle turnaround story.

Result:  The next day, Chipotle reported that sales are down, queso is to blame and the stock tanked by 50 points from 320 to 270 in a week.

After this disaster, Chipotle finally got rid of their CEO and hired a power player from Taco Bell….ending the great LikeFolio Chipotle run of 2017.

The Rest of our public trades:

 

✔️ BEBE 1/16/15 – LikeFolio predicted good news for Bebe before the stock jumps 20% on better than expected same store sales.

✔️ ETSY 5/14/15– showed explosive growth after LikeFolio pointed out that social data was through the roof.  

✔️AAPL  1/23/15–LikeFolio says sales for the Apple Watch will be far below expectations and even predicts 9-14 million units will be sold.  Apple reports sales down and only 12 million units sold. 

 

✔️ DECK  1/28/15–Social mentions and purchase intent mentions drop on UGGS brand. Earnings report shows sales are down and the stock tanks.

✔️ YUM 7/22/15  We sounded the warning bell on Yum! Brands due to dropping social sentiment and social volume.   Three months later, YUM stock drops dramatically on a lackluster sales report.

✔️ MAT  8/13/15 LikeFolio app users alerted that stock could be taking off and 6 months later stock is up 35%.

✔️ KORS 9/21/15 LikeFolio says KORS on the rise based on social data and company later reports positive earnings and is hailed the “comeback king”.

✔️ NFLX 9/23/15 Likefolio believes Netflix could be turning into a victim of its own success.  Six months later, Netflix is warning about slowing subscriber growth and increased churn.

✔️ MCD 10/6/15 shows a rise in purchase intent and positive consumer sentiment regarding all-day breakfast and then stock hits all-time highs near 122

✔️ WMT 1/12/16  WalMart purchase intent is up in a report from LikeFolio…  WalMart shares explode higher after beating Wall Street expectations just a few months later

✔️ LNKD 1/12/16 LikeFolio spots more and more people talking about canceling their LinkedIn subscriptions.  In the next quarter’s report, LNKD crashes on poor performance.

✔️ TSLA 2/16/16 tweets for Tesla go through the roof.  Then the company reports 400,000 pre-orders for Model 3 and stock takes off.

✔️ AMZN 2/24/16 Amazon shares had been taking a big hit in the prior months, from highs near $700/share down to around $540. LikeFolio defended the stock, saying Amazon is primed to dominate.  It did.

✔️ JWN 2/17/16  LikeFolio sees Nordstrom as a turnaround story and issues a bullish alert on the stock prior to it moving up nearly 20% over the next few months.

❌ GPRO 3/4/16 LikeFolio contributes to a news story saying that the selling in GoPro is overdone and the company may turnaround.  Boy were we wrong… the stock fell to all-time lows over the next months…

✔️ ✔️ LOW & HD 3/29/16 social data shows Lowe’s has more purchase intent mentions than Home Depot. Subsequently, Lowe’s shows a strong earnings beat and HD shares fall.

✔️ ✔️ F & DNKN 4/20/16 LikeFolio says buy Ford and Dunkin. Ford then reports its best quarter in 113 years and Dunkin reports a good quarter.

✔️ NTDOY 7/17/16 Social-data led the stock price higher as Nintendo launched Pokemon go.

✔️ TSLA 8/2/16 Purchase Intent from LikeFolio data drops considerably and then shares go down 16%. 

✔️ UBER & LYFT 8/31/16 Lyft getting more consumer attention on social media then sees bookings soar.

✔️ NKE 8/23/16 We issued a strong warning to our premium clients about Nike.  The stock dropped over 16% quickly.

 

❌ ZNGA 2/12/16 LikeFolio warns investors that the stock price could be going downbased on social data mentions but we were wrong here and the stock price went up.

✔️ LULU 12/18/16 LikeFolio says LULU dominates and stock price moves from $58 to $70 in a few trading hours. 

✔️ PCLN 1/12/17 LikeFolio says Priceline is topping out and then we see the stock decline.

✔️ HRB 4/18/2017 – LikeFolio claims H&R Block had a great tax season.  HRB shows 24% gain in June 2017 after reporting a huge tax season.

✔️ BWLD 5/24/17  Purchase intent data shows Buffalo Wild Wings could be in trouble.  Over the next 3 months, BWLD lost almost $50/share as investors fled the company amid lousy sales reports.

✔️ WTW 6/19/17 – LikeFolio claimed a Weight Watchers comeback is underway based on social data showing the company adding high levels of new members.  We then saw WTW stock rise from 27 to over 45 over a 3 month period as Weight Watchers surprisingly positive sales results keep rolling in.

✔️ EXPR 8/24/17 – August 24, 2017 to end of the month

✔️ AAPL 9/16/17  iPhone X demand sends AAPL stock to new highs, just as LikeFolio predicted.

✔️ SKX 10/16/17 –  Increase in consumer demand shows a big opportunity.  Not long after, SKX is the biggest gainer on Wall Street and is up 40% for the day.

✔️ WYN  10/19/17 — LikeFolio sees a breakout for WYN in the future by looking at booking mentions.  The stock rallies over 16% on increased sales over the next three months.

✔️✔️ FDX & UPS 11/19/17 – LikeFolio says both FDX and UPS off to a good start for the holiday season –  Both stocks then rally in a huge way through the end of the year!

✔️ SNAP 02/13/18 — LikeFolio says users are dropping Snapchat in huge numbers due to new user interface, warns on stock.  Stock drops massively after disppointing quarterly reports highlighting reduced user engagement.

SIG 03/14/18 — LikeFolio sees purchase intent mentions and consumer happiness starting to climb for beaten-down Signet.  EXITED FOR 10% GAIN….image pending.

✔️ FB 03/28/18 — LikeFolio dives deep into social data to see what impact the Cambridge Analytica scandal is having on Facebook usage.   The stock rallies over 10% in a matter of 20 days as investor fears subside.

Stay tuned for more…

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  1. Our memberships are awesome and get you alerted to everything we see via Opportunity Alerts, and everything we have from a social data perspective via On Demand Research.
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