About
Information is our nourishment. Say hello to the data gods.
Meet Our Team
Consumers speak. We listen, analyze, and dig deep. You win!
Learn More
Solutions
Get targeted insights into industry trends with our quarterly sector reports, so you can predict the future and stay a step ahead.
Learn More
Receive alerts and reports to power your fund management. Partner with our team of analysts to take your research to the next level.
Learn More
Plug our consumer-demand-data directly into your client-facing software, tools, and platform or work with us to create custom, high-value content your customers will love.
Learn More
Testing our data is like jumping in a time machine to compare market gains and losses against reliable and annotated historical data.
Learn More
Track specific tickers, receive alerts, and watch sector-specific trends. Drill down on individual stocks and see where consumer sentiment aligned with gains and losses in trading.
Learn More
Who We Serve
LikeFolio is your real-time focus group keeping you connected to consumers and giving you a critical edge over your competition.
Learn More
LikeFolio is your research secret weapon to sniff out game-changing shifts in the market before they happen.
Learn More
LikeFolio is source of quantitative data based upon real consumer insights to power your investment engine.
Learn More
LikeFolio is your content pipeline positioning your tool as an indispensable resource to your customers.
Learn More
LikeFolio has partnered with Tradesmith to build Derby City Insights and bring our powerful insights engine to private investors.
Learn More

LikeFolio Earnings Predictions are sent via our famous Sunday Earnings Sheet every Sunday during earnings season, covering the week ahead.  Here's what a typical Sunday Earnings Sheet will look like:

Cover sheet:

The cover sheet simply lets you know where you are in the current earnings season, and gives a brief overview of who is reporting this week along with some quick commentary on the week ahead.

Predictions Sheet

The predictions are broken down by last day to trade prior to the earnings reports.  For example, all of the companies who report on Monday after the bell and Tuesday before the open will be bucketed together in the Monday group.

Each company has its own row, giving a breakdown of all of the data that went into that company's prediction (or non-prediction in many cases).

Bolded names are LikeFolio staff's top picks for that day.

Historical Confidence is a score (0-10) given to each stock based on the performance of that particular stock in our Earnings Trading System (learn more about methodology).  The higher the score, the better our data has been at predicting that stock's earnings movements in the past, based on % of time direction was correct as well as the size of the moves.

Quarter over Quarter data is provided.  This shows the movement in purchase intent mentions and movement in the stock price over the duration of the quarter to be reported, as of the last day of that company's fiscal quarter.  Remember, it's up to you to account for pre-release earnings movement.

QoQ PI signal is difference between those two quarterly numbers.  A negative result indicates that the stock has outperformed the underlying purchase intent data.  A positive score indicates that the stock has underperformed the purchase intent data.  Positive is bullish going into the earnings report, negative is bearish.

Year over Year data is provided.  This shows the movement in purchase intent mentions and movement in the stock price for the quarter to be reported compared to that same quarter a year ago.  All data is as of the last day of that company's fiscal quarter.  Remember, it's up to you to account for pre-release earnings movement.

YoY PI signal is difference between those two  numbers. A negative result indicates that the stock has outperformed the underlying purchase intent data. A positive score indicates that the stock has underperformed the purchase intent data. Positive is bullish going into the earnings report, negative is bearish.

Call is the directional prediction of the Earnings Trading System.  This is purely a mechanical call using the system studied in the Likefolio White Paper.

IMPORTANT Seasonality Impact:  One of the shortcomings of the Earnings System as defined in our white paper is that it doesn't do a great job of adjusting for seasonality (in the system, QoQ and YoY MUST agree on direction).  When looking at the numbers on highly seasonal companies, we suggest giving higher priority to YoY data.  This could allow for the identification of opportunities where the system itself produces no official call.  To test for seasonality, look at purchase intent mentions in the LikeFoio Research Dashboard.  Truly seasonal businesses (GOOS is a great example) will have "waves" of purchase intent with distinct peaks and valleys each year.

LikeFolio Says... is commentary from Likefolio team members with extensive experience using the data to place earnings trades.  This section is designed to give you a view into how experienced traders react to the provided data.  In here we will add color to the data.  We may state reasons against being aggressive on a system call, or provide notice of an opportunity that the system data did not see (usually due to seasonality).... we may even put specific trade ideas or entry/exit point projections into this area. 

Bottom line --  The LikeFolio Sunday Earnings Sheet is one of the most powerful documents produced for active investors and traders, and yet it is not a replacement for doing your own research, analysis and trading decision-making.  Developing your own approach that fits your goals, risk tolerance and personality is critical to success!

About LikeFolio

LikeFolio analyzes social media data to accurately predict shifts in consumer behavior. We sell data and insights to professional investors, corporate research teams, and software providers.

Partner Sites

©2022 LikeFolio. All Rights Reserved.
Privacy Policy
|
Terms of Use
LikeFolio userslaptop-phonepie-chartchart-barsselect